Changes in U.S. Energy Prices

When we look at the U.S. energy prices of late, everything revolves around the demand issue. A prime example of this is the higher demand in oil, which makes gas prices soar. Even though we would have expected a steep decline, the demand in other countries has kept the prices high.

Looking back between 1978 to 2004, the rise in consumption was around 28.6%. If you like numbers, this year alone, China’s increase was 25.8%. Even the demand in South Korea has skyrocketed over the years by nearly 344%. It’s to imagine that right before we hit the new millennium, the cost for a barrel of oil was only $12. Today it is roughly around $70.

The price of crude oil directly influences the cost of other fuels. Whether it be for production or generation, crude oil and other fossil fuels are vital to electricity, gasoline, and petroleum. Although oil prices dropped in the first half of 2009, due to a fall in consumption of 1.25 million barrels a day, the price will rise again in 2010 as industry recovers from the recession and demand begins to rise once more.

However, you will see a drop again around the latter part of 2009. When we reach the increase though, you can expect to see a rise of 40c per gallon on gasoline. Even though this will be a major cost increase throughout each month, the good news is there will be a slight decline in the electricity side of things.

While the economy remains unstable, U.S. energy prices will be less certain. In the supply and demand chain, if fuel prices suddenly rise too high, demand will decrease as smaller businesses and companies can no longer afford production. However, while prices are on the decline it will help industry pick up again as their profits increase. The delicate balance should be maintained by both crude oil sales and industry relying on each other. Undoubtedly, as the economy picks up speed once more, crude oil prices will increase. It is only a matter of time before other fuel prices follow.

When looking at electricity consumption through the first half of 2009, there was a large decrease. In fact, according to sources the decreases fell short of 5% by only .6% in the prior year. In the second part of 2009 though, the decline has leveled out to around 2.3%. Hopefully the prices can remain low for the remainder of the year. When the economy settles though, the industry will start to receive their increase in costs once again.

Whenever a conversation starts with U.S. energy prices, the economy are enters in the blink of an eye. We can definitely say the recession is far from over, and it might take another year or two in order to see positive changes. Unfortunately, as long as we’re all uncertain, the increase could come out of nowhere.

One thing you will notice about crude oil prices is that they try to guess where the economy is headed. If it looks as though the U.S. is about to recover and prices rise, this boosts the cost of gasoline and petroleum. Then again, when there is an obstacle that comes to the forefront, the costs either remains stagnate or simply tumble until something else comes along. Take for instance the unemployment benefit claims. Even though they have declined, the level of unemployment still isn’t at an acceptable level.

Oddly enough, the lowered demand for energy has still left the fuel stockpile prices higher then we expected. Keep in mind this is lowering the price since more is available. However, items such as natural gas have reached a new 5-year high. Thinking ahead; it will be a long while before demand supersedes the supply and prices rise. If the industry stays encouraged during this time, it will be well on its way to recovery.

For now, the U.S. energy prices have declined thanks to the lack of demand. While lower prices are great, the constant fluctuation around the world will continue this crazy roller coaster. So when 2010 rolls around expect to see an increase in gas prices, but in the meantime enjoy the lower prices.